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India–USA trade corridor No FTA · interim deal Feb 2026, tariff basis voided

Rendered from the All Frontier Global corridor registry · every figure below carries a numbered source

There is no comprehensive India–US free trade agreement. An interim deal was announced on 6 February 2026[1]; fourteen days later the US Supreme Court struck down the legal authority the deal’s tariff cuts rested on[2]. What is actually collected on Indian goods today rests on different statutes entirely. This page renders the corridor registry record — the tariff stack layer by layer with its current legal status, the official trade series, the commodity split, and the questions the registry could not answer from an official source.

At a glance

The framework

No comprehensive US-India FTA exists as of August 12, 2026. A jointly announced 'interim' trade deal (Feb 6, 2026) cut the IEEPA reciprocal tariff on India and removed a Russia-oil penalty tariff, but the legal basis for those specific cuts (IEEPA) was struck down by the US Supreme Court just 14 days later (Feb 20, 2026), voiding that tariff regime. A broader Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) remains under active negotiation, not concluded. The tariff actually collected on Indian goods today rests on different legal authorities (Section 301 forced-labor duties at 10%, Section 232 national-security duties at 50% on steel/aluminum) rather than on the negotiated 18% 'deal' rate, which never took lasting effect.[1][2][6]

The interim deal of February 2026

Announced 6 February 2026, fact sheet published 9 February 2026: US-India Joint Statement / interim trade agreement framework: reduced the IEEPA 'reciprocal' tariff on India from 25% to 18%; removed the additional 25% penalty tariff tied to Russian oil purchases; India committed to eliminate/reduce tariffs on US industrial goods and agricultural products (DDGs, sorghum, tree nuts, fruit, soybean oil, wine, spirits) and to purchase over $500 billion in US products (energy, aircraft, precious metals, technology/GPUs/data-center equipment, coking coal) over five years.[1][7]

The Bilateral Trade Agreement

Comprehensive Bilateral Trade Agreement negotiations ongoing, no signed text found. India's Commerce Ministry stated (late July 2026) that discussions with Washington 'remain active and constructive,' particularly on textile export arrangements. India's Commerce Secretary separately stated (March 2026) that India 'remains engaged with the US for a mutually beneficial trade agreement.'[3][8]

What is actually collected today

The registry tracks the tariff stack as five separate layers, each with its own legal basis and its own current status. Two of the five are no longer collected.

Trade flows

US goods figures come from the Census Bureau country series; goods-and-services totals come from USTR. The registry stores US goods values in USD millions exactly as published, and does not add the two directions together into a total no source states.

Goods trade, 2025 — US Census Bureau[5]
MeasureValueYear
US exports to IndiaUS$45,354.3 mn2025
US imports from IndiaUS$103,776.3 mn2025
US goods trade deficitUS$58,422.1 mn2025

USTR's India country page independently reports near-identical 2025 goods figures ($45.6B exports, $103.8B imports, $58.2B deficit; imports up 18.9% and deficit up 27.1% from 2024), cross-confirming the census.gov series.[4]

Goods and services, 2024 — USTR[4]
MeasureValueMovement on 2023
Total goods and services tradeUS$212,300 mnup 8.3% ($16.3B) from 2023
US services exports to IndiaUS$41,800 mnup 15.9% ($5.7B) from 2023
US services imports from IndiaUS$41,600 mnup 15.4% from 2023
US services surplusUS$102 mnvs a $76M services deficit in 2023
Goods, Jan-Jun 2026 — US Census Bureau[5]
MeasureValuePeriod
US exports to IndiaUS$26,278.1 mnJan-Jun 2026
US imports from IndiaUS$49,294.8 mnJan-Jun 2026
US goods trade deficitUS$23,016.7 mnJan-Jun 2026
US goods deficit, single monthUS$4,500 mn[14]June 2026

The June 2026 monthly deficit is carried as USD millions, approx as rounded in source (Exhibit 19).

India’s rank among US trading partners, June 2026[15]
MeasureRankAs stated in source
Total trade#11$13.3B total trade that month, 2.5% of total US trade that month
US export destination#12$4.4B, 2.1% of total US exports that month
US import source#10$8.9B, 2.8% of total US imports that month

Top goods, each direction

India’s exports to the US — FY2024-25 (Apr 2024-Mar 2025)[16]
CommodityValue
Electrical machinery & equipment, incl. smartphones (HS 85)US$15.9 bn
Gems, precious stones & jewelry (HS 71)US$9.97 bn
Pharmaceuticals (HS 30)US$9.78 bn
Machinery & mechanical appliances (HS 84)US$6.69 bn
Petroleum products (HS 27)US$4.2 bn
Total, FY2024-25US$86.5 bn

Business-press compilation citing India's Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce and Industry (GoI) as primary source. Qualitatively corroborated by India's official DGCIS 'Quick View of India's Trade Scenario' (Aug 2025), which independently states India's key exports to the USA concentrate in HS-85, HS-30 and HS-71, led by smartphones and pharmaceutical products, and that the US is India's #1 export destination overall at $80.77B / 18.25% of India's total global exports (CY2024).[17]

US exports to India — FY2024-25 (Apr 2024-Mar 2025)[16]
CommodityValue
Mineral fuels / energy, incl. crude oil & LNG (HS 27)US$14.3 bn
Natural/cultured pearls & precious stones (HS 71)US$5.29 bn
Machinery & mechanical appliances (HS 84)US$4.43 bn
Electrical machinery & equipment (HS 85)US$3.38 bn
Optical, medical & precision instruments (HS 90)US$2.03 bn
Total, FY2024-25US$45.6 bn

Business-press compilation citing India's Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce and Industry (GoI). Matches USTR's separately reported calendar-year-2025 US-exports-to-India figure of $45.6B almost exactly, cross-confirming the figure across two independent sources/periods.[16][4]

Named in the February 2026 deal, without values

The joint statement names these US export categories as negotiating asks. It is a qualitative list — the registry attaches no value to any of it: dried distillers' grains (DDGs), red sorghum, tree nuts, fresh/processed fruit, soybean oil, wine, spirits, industrial goods generally, aircraft and aircraft parts, coal/coking coal, GPUs and data-center equipment (under the $500B five-year purchase pledge)[1].

Mechanics and open issues

Logistics

The registry flags the sourcing quality on this section explicitly: the India-side port figures are general container statistics rather than corridor-specific, and the US-side gateway and transit-time entries come from a logistics-industry source rather than a port authority filing.

Developments 2025–26

Not yet verified

The registry records what could not be sourced as well as what could. These are open items, listed exactly as the registry states them — not gaps we have filled from memory or inference.

Sources

Numbered to match the markers in the text above. Every figure on this page traces to one of these; nothing is estimated, averaged or carried over from outside the registry.

  1. whitehouse.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  2. scotusblog.com accessed 12 August 2026
  3. organiser.org accessed 12 August 2026
  4. ustr.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  5. census.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  6. ustr.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  7. ustr.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  8. newsonair.gov.in accessed 12 August 2026
  9. whitecase.com accessed 12 August 2026
  10. federalregister.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  11. skadden.com accessed 12 August 2026
  12. alcircle.com accessed 12 August 2026
  13. whitehouse.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  14. census.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  15. census.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  16. india-briefing.com accessed 12 August 2026
  17. dgciskol.gov.in accessed 12 August 2026
  18. pbs.org accessed 12 August 2026
  19. newsonair.gov.in accessed 12 August 2026
  20. ustr.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  21. whitehouse.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  22. whitehouse.gov accessed 12 August 2026
  23. en.wikipedia.org accessed 12 August 2026
  24. shapiro.com accessed 12 August 2026

Data verified 12 August 2026 · rendered from the corridor registry.

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Developed by Amit Jain at allfrontierglobal.com · purposed.in · purposed · purposed2 · merchcomp.com · uuka.org

Compiled reference — verify current specifics at the source.

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